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recession indicators

Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted, SAHMREALTIME
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percentage Points 2019-09-06 to 2024-11-01 Dec 1959 to Oct 2024
 
Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, RECPROUSM156N
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percent 2012-09-04 to 2019-06-30 Feb 1967 to Apr 2019
Percent 2019-07-01 to 2024-11-01 Jun 1967 to Sep 2024
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-18 to 2019-06-30 Dec 1854 to May 2019
+1 or 0 2019-07-01 to 2024-11-01 Dec 1854 to Oct 2024
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-07-25 to 2024-11-20 1854-12-01 to 2024-11-19
 
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JHDUSRGDPBR
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2016-01-29 to 2024-10-30 Q4 1967 to Q2 2024
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECQ
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-18 to 2024-10-01 Q4 1854 to Q3 2024
 
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted, SAHMCURRENT
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percentage Points 2019-09-06 to 2024-11-01 Mar 1949 to Oct 2024
 
GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JHGDPBRINDX
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percentage Points 2016-01-29 to 2024-10-30 Q4 1967 to Q2 2024
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2024-11-20 1854-12-01 to 2024-11-19
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-14 to 2024-11-01 Dec 1854 to Oct 2024
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECQM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2024-10-01 Q4 1854 to Q3 2024
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, EUROREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Mar 1960 to Aug 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, EURORECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 1960-03-01 to 2022-08-31
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECDP
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2024-11-20 1854-12-01 to 2024-11-19
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECP
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-18 to 2024-11-01 Dec 1854 to Oct 2024
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USRECQP
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-17 to 2024-10-01 Q4 1854 to Q3 2024
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USARECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1947-02-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USARECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-23 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1947 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United Kingdom from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, GBRRECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1955-02-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United Kingdom from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, GBRRECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1955 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, DEUREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, DEURECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1959-02-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Canada from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, CANRECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1956-11-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Canada from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, CANRECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-22 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, INDREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 May 1996 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JPNRECP
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Aug 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for China from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, CHNRECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-14 to 2022-11-09 Jan 1978 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for China from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, CHNRECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-11-09 1978-01-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JPNRECDP
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 1960-02-01 to 2022-08-31
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, INDRECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 1996-05-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Italy from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, ITARECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1957-03-01 to 2022-08-31
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Italy from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, ITAREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-18 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Aug 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for OECD and Non-member Economies from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, OECDNMERECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-22 to 2022-12-08 1960-02-01 to 2022-02-28
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for OECD and Non-member Economies from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, OECDNMERECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-23 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Feb 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for France from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, FRAREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for France from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, FRARECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1958-01-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USAREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1947 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Australia from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, AUSRECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1960-02-01 to 2022-07-31
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, EURORECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-14 to 2022-12-08 Mar 1960 to Aug 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Australia from the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, AUSRECM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-07-22 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Jul 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, EURORECDM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 1960-03-01 to 2022-08-31
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, USARECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1947-02-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Netherlands from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, NDLREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Aug 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Korea from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, KORRECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1960-02-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Switzerland from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, CHEREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Sep 2022
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Switzerland from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, CHERECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2011-11-03 to 2022-12-08 1960-02-01 to 2022-09-30
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Netherlands from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted, NDLRECD
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-09-22 to 2022-12-08 1960-02-01 to 2022-08-31
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Korea from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, KORREC
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2014-10-06 to 2022-12-08 Feb 1960 to Sep 2022
 

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