Skip to main content

Filter Series by Tags




Need Help?

Recession Probabilities


10 Series Revisions

Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted, SAHMREALTIME
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percentage Points 2019-09-06 to 2024-11-01 Dec 1959 to Oct 2024
 
Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, RECPROUSM156N
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percent 2012-09-04 to 2019-06-30 Feb 1967 to Apr 2019
Percent 2019-07-01 to 2024-11-01 Jun 1967 to Sep 2024
 
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JHDUSRGDPBR
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
+1 or 0 2016-01-29 to 2024-10-30 Q4 1967 to Q2 2024
 
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted, SAHMCURRENT
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percentage Points 2019-09-06 to 2024-11-01 Mar 1949 to Oct 2024
 
GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index
Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JHGDPBRINDX
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percentage Points 2016-01-29 to 2024-10-30 Q4 1967 to Q2 2024
 
Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for Russia
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, RUSEPUINDXM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Index 2016-02-11 to 2019-10-08 Jan 1994 to Sep 2019
Index 2019-10-09 to 2024-10-31 Jan 1994 to Oct 2024
 
Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for South Korea (DISCONTINUED)
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, KOREPUINDXM
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Index 2016-02-11 to 2019-10-08 Jan 1990 to Dec 2014
Index 2019-10-09 to 2019-10-09 Jan 1990 to Dec 2014